https://www.gginvestor.com/articles daily 0.75 2026-05-20 https://www.gginvestor.com/articles/october-2025-smartsignal-report-market-update-big-picture monthly 0.5 2026-05-19 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/3999c02d-8599-43bc-9840-e129e4503bc2/10.7%25.png Articles - October 2025 SmartSignal Report, Market Update, Big Picture - Make it stand out It's natural to get a little boost from a positive monthly return. Year-to-date we're sitting at 12.8%, and the twelve-month return hit 16.2%. Those feel good too. But the numbers that really matter are the ones further up the list: a 10.7% compounded annual growth rate over fifteen years, and 12.8% CAGR over five years. Those are the figures that tell me if I keep following the system's rules consistently, then expecting returns in that 10-12% range over meaningful periods would be reasonable. (Past performance does not guarantee future results) That's why I followed the signal at the end of September even when I felt resistance - gold had had a strong run already, and I worried about buying it near a top. Gold did exactly what I feared it would do - it shot up 12% and crashed – though it still finished the month with a 3.5% gain. The S&P added just over 2%. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/449ad9ad-d3ae-4aef-ae4d-74972978d217/fsfwfwfwf.png Articles - October 2025 SmartSignal Report, Market Update, Big Picture - Make it stand out Following the rules isn't always comfortable in the moment, but looking at those long-term numbers reminds me why discipline matters. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/d32aab44-8586-425c-9233-12284fac7f06/SPX.png Articles - October 2025 SmartSignal Report, Market Update, Big Picture - Make it stand out What's more interesting is the five-year chart. Notice the blue line under the price bars in the upper right – the recent few months. When the price hasn’t penetrated that line for more than 100 days, John Hussman pointed out last month that market history says a quick 4-6% pullback can be expected. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/491eebd8-1b85-4de4-a4e6-35cf0e9b33e4/SXEE.png Articles - October 2025 SmartSignal Report, Market Update, Big Picture - Make it stand out So after 132 days, price pierced the 50 day MA on November 7. The day's low registered a 4.2% loss from the recent high on October 29. Was that the short term pullback? Well, it was a pullback. Hussman may require the market to close below the line, not just poke through it. Either way, not a big concern. The market may let us know soon enough with a new high or another drop. Take a look at the percentage of stocks above their 200-day moving average - still above 50%, declining since September, but in decent shape overall. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/fd564801-d0c6-4917-a816-5779b04d471c/XAR.png Articles - October 2025 SmartSignal Report, Market Update, Big Picture - Make it stand out In the chart below, we see six distribution days in the last month. That's not critical yet - it gets more concerning around eight or nine - but let's watch how the next week develops. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/b4e94ca2-5ad3-4b58-8e95-ba7c63454bf5/SPXX.png Articles - October 2025 SmartSignal Report, Market Update, Big Picture - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/55d790ce-d612-4f6a-8e25-626366f7558c/How+country.png Articles - October 2025 SmartSignal Report, Market Update, Big Picture - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.gginvestor.com/articles/prepare-for-the-bear-how-to-protect-what-youve-built monthly 0.5 2026-05-19 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/b02b1f3e-81df-4dbc-8392-fdbca0e3b842/2000.png Articles - Prepare for the Bear: How to Protect What You’ve Built - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/f3115f4a-e075-4223-8a5a-3380557f370c/20001.png Articles - Prepare for the Bear: How to Protect What You’ve Built - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/aa391515-09c3-483b-bcd8-b831fc04c4bb/1992.png Articles - Prepare for the Bear: How to Protect What You’ve Built - Make it stand out The difference between those who make it through with their accounts intact and those who don’t isn’t intelligence or luck – it’s preparation. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/4c899de1-7051-47cd-ac75-a851ef63733a/Portfolio.png Articles - Prepare for the Bear: How to Protect What You’ve Built - Make it stand out One diversified model uses ten ETFs across multiple asset classes, with roughly a third in equities. The other, Harry Browne’s Permanent Portfolio, uses only four assets – stocks, long-term bonds, gold, and cash – and yet it performs surprisingly well. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/5b621ba2-262e-4463-aa9d-130a5e12274d/10+ETF.png Articles - Prepare for the Bear: How to Protect What You’ve Built - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/ad7f26d6-250f-4850-b590-82056d20a239/Harry+brown.png Articles - Prepare for the Bear: How to Protect What You’ve Built - Make it stand out The point isn’t to try and create the perfect mix. It’s to understand that diversification acts as shock absorption for your emotions as much as for your balance sheet. Diversification cushions declines but often lags during strong bull markets. That’s the trade-off of staying invested long term in diversified portfolios: steadier results, slower surges. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/45775754-8750-4935-a45e-a4ad6af941bb/Portfolio+growth.png Articles - Prepare for the Bear: How to Protect What You’ve Built - Make it stand out any investors remain diversified forever, and that’s fine – it keeps them steady through storms. A systematic approach to diversification can go further where you increase diversification during late-stage bulls for safety and then concentrate more in stocks when a new bull begins for growth. That requires structure, discipline, and a plan – not prediction, but preparation https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/1aa3a7c3-210d-47a0-9483-73123221d6b1/100000.png Articles - Prepare for the Bear: How to Protect What You’ve Built - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.gginvestor.com/articles/secular-volatility-four-lenses-on-the-decade-ahead monthly 0.5 2026-05-19 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/ce7cf995-c2f8-4752-a889-40032ae95e9f/The+future.png Articles - Secular Volatility: Four Lenses on the Decade Ahead - Make it stand out The market's biggest PE ratio peaks (see golden line above) - 1929, 1969, and 1999 - all set up long stretches of flat or negative real returns afterward. See the charts below - https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/e9326cd2-20e2-4ee3-91e3-a651b8d80e58/Screenshot+2026-05-19+141616.png Articles - Secular Volatility: Four Lenses on the Decade Ahead - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/2b45f452-1984-4f75-b03a-ee5296726d6b/Screenshot+2026-05-19+141642.png Articles - Secular Volatility: Four Lenses on the Decade Ahead - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/ec1bd38a-1a8b-49f6-926b-4af91c3c9ea7/Screenshot+2026-05-19+141700.png Articles - Secular Volatility: Four Lenses on the Decade Ahead - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.gginvestor.com/articles/september-2025-market-update-report monthly 0.5 2026-05-19 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/e93203d8-cb84-4a08-915f-d951bebd79a4/12+year.png Articles - September 2025 Market Update Report - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/ce1c3318-c10c-44ba-bb85-80f2a0750642/12+graph.png Articles - September 2025 Market Update Report - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/db7a9e77-41f3-4a0b-91cc-654067733ff7/graph+3.png Articles - September 2025 Market Update Report - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/4968a4bc-8bdf-44b2-9c64-988cb5dfe878/Graph+4.png Articles - September 2025 Market Update Report - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/546cda51-a137-457c-b5f6-866a559fb90e/Graph+5.png Articles - September 2025 Market Update Report - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/72d59d63-20b8-41d6-96d5-67017d991f51/graph+6.png Articles - September 2025 Market Update Report - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.gginvestor.com/articles/three-numbers-professional-investors-watch-that-you-probably-dont monthly 0.5 2026-05-19 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/2d103e0d-3ff3-4511-bd11-7cd205620944/Declinige.png Articles - Three Numbers Professional Investors Watch - That You Probably Don't - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/2b28a4fb-ae42-43ad-be81-e9cbdfdfb56a/decine+222.png Articles - Three Numbers Professional Investors Watch - That You Probably Don't - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/8d25796a-7552-49c8-829e-9d67cbd7bde3/cecline+3.png Articles - Three Numbers Professional Investors Watch - That You Probably Don't - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.gginvestor.com/articles/the-wrong-risk monthly 0.5 2026-05-19 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/ac688f70-b464-4617-96b8-aeb34a977931/what+rik.png Articles - The Wrong Risk - Make it stand out Radically different outcomes. Same average return. https://www.gginvestor.com/articles/system-performance-9lcyn monthly 0.5 2026-05-19 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/2be94663-0622-47a5-b507-07fcacee644f/gtevrr.png Articles - Drawdowns Destroy Compounding - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/0408faf5-110b-4dcb-864a-49de42f02313/Retrun+balance.png Articles - Drawdowns Destroy Compounding - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/284e504a-1d8c-45b1-ac63-eaa806a8a4f5/Second+retutrn.png Articles - Drawdowns Destroy Compounding - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/56f5bce0-55dd-4a94-a863-a16a34ac0a17/Both+80%25.png Articles - Drawdowns Destroy Compounding - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/cbe6ec13-326e-4bdf-a3c3-99dbf896bb15/8%25.png Articles - Drawdowns Destroy Compounding - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/c7db2ccf-c824-4d96-89b0-7b02596d5fae/Bigger+zone.png Articles - Drawdowns Destroy Compounding - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.gginvestor.com/articles/strong-economy-rising-stocks-the-data-says-otherwise monthly 0.5 2026-05-20 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/c7ab2454-a0be-4d2c-9b1f-9be852c2db24/Avrage+annual.png Articles - Strong Economy = Rising Stocks? The Data Says Otherwise - Make it stand out Source: https://www.crestmontresearch.com/blog/document/its-not-the-economy/ https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/57f25c89-5092-40ac-a1d4-d225c8360b3c/Shiller.png Articles - Strong Economy = Rising Stocks? The Data Says Otherwise - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.gginvestor.com/articles/drawdowns-destroy-compounding monthly 0.5 2026-05-20 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/ccd451c5-07a3-41ee-8532-9f63a0c88162/The+math.png Articles - Drawdowns Destroy Compounding - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/2e6a98e3-0c4c-47ae-8eb3-675fa3c17ebe/The+Balance.png Articles - Drawdowns Destroy Compounding - Make it stand out The second gremlin is return dispersion. Take two portfolios with the same 8% average annual return over 20 years. Portfolio A is pretty steady, earning 7% and 9% in alternate years. Portfolio B swings wildly - up 24%, then down 16%, repeatedly. Same average return, but very different endings. The smooth portfolio ends about three times higher. Why? Because volatility is a math tax. Every big swing down erases more than the next swing up can recover. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/5b4183cb-0ddd-433f-828f-f4dc9a4a77bd/Smooth+year.png Articles - Drawdowns Destroy Compounding - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/32594d8e-a10d-419c-82b6-eeec0a5a3947/Both+8%25.png Articles - Drawdowns Destroy Compounding - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/58107407-7134-49ba-acd8-09d7a5f17aa4/Two+box.png Articles - Drawdowns Destroy Compounding - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/830709b5-1399-4dfc-8654-5d1ba4700b1e/Biger+red+zone.png Articles - Drawdowns Destroy Compounding - 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Five Signals That Tend to Flash Before Market Shifts - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/89a2123e-a238-4fb0-b01a-56ef29a5c731/SP+new.png Articles - Five Signals That Tend to Flash Before Market Shifts - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.gginvestor.com/articles/system-performance monthly 0.5 2026-05-19 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/d65e2d83-70bb-4fa7-83bc-e04ff8a96ce3/blog+7.png Articles - System Performance - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/afefbc8b-a91d-4cb0-a15a-f6ccaebff49c/blog+7.1.png Articles - System Performance - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/3df0e199-1fea-41c3-9aa6-fed4114e572e/blog+7.2.png Articles - System Performance - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/c1503085-d287-4639-a877-c4a6517fcd91/blog+7.3.png Articles - System Performance - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/c21d1cb5-e2de-49e0-9721-ec5b2439d60f/blog+7.4.png Articles - System Performance - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/2ef4d176-d9df-4d05-b67e-ffebf619a5e4/blog+7.5.png Articles - System Performance - Make it stand out Image from: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RfN7eFo5cbk https://www.gginvestor.com/articles/smartsignal-system-performance-report-july-2025 monthly 0.5 2025-09-08 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/5cfd6275-a6ec-4cd4-8658-d347076d2e0d/blog+8.png Articles - SmartSignal System Performance Report - July 2025 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/5d48938e-5dda-41d1-8bae-ee6baed2cde1/blog+8.1.png Articles - SmartSignal System Performance Report - July 2025 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/71e25148-288b-43f9-809c-72ad79050b80/blog+8.2.png Articles - SmartSignal System Performance Report - July 2025 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/e9cac577-1a6e-4bf1-8400-fe9a53b98fb2/blog+8.3.png Articles - SmartSignal System Performance Report - July 2025 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/ec0baa0b-1984-44ca-b550-bdd5cda92fbe/blog+8.4.png Articles - SmartSignal System Performance Report - July 2025 - Make it stand out Source: https://www.barchart.com https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/10ddeeee-1c3e-459e-9c60-b18a4015c46d/blog+8.5.png Articles - SmartSignal System Performance Report - July 2025 - Make it stand out Source: https://www.hussmanfunds.com/comment/mc250720/ https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/de9b669d-ae73-495d-b18e-eabd691512f1/blog+8.6.png Articles - SmartSignal System Performance Report - July 2025 - Make it stand out Source: www.crestmontresearch.com https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/52d034b4-a5ef-4bbe-b049-8ffaa72a4d5b/blog+8.7.png Articles - SmartSignal System Performance Report - July 2025 - Make it stand out Source: https://www.apolloacademy.com/stagflation-theme-continues/?utm_id=701Dp00000017sOIAQ https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67dc5ad0bb6abb0abe328d4b/82f76719-37d5-4bcf-85b2-d03f79e18e4e/blog+8.8.png Articles - 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